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Exploring America's Pastime through Algorithms, Visualizations, and Game Theory

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OPS Projections with Machine Learning

February 13, 2018February 21, 2021micahmelling@gmail.com
As spring training approaches, the excitement for a new season becomes fresh. Fans and commentators alike discuss teams’ prospects, and multiple organizations release [...]

When Will a Pitcher Surrender a Run?

January 1, 2018February 21, 2021micahmelling@gmail.com
Here’s the scenario: Eighth inning in a tight game, a lefty walks to the plate against a right-handed pitcher. Any baseball fan knows [...]

Using Machine Learning to Predict Baseball Hall of Famers

September 27, 2017February 21, 2021micahmelling@gmail.com
Being inducted into Major League Baseball’s Hall of Fame (HoF) is the highest honor a baseball player can receive. The achievement is rare; [...]

How Good (or Bad) Could the Royals Be?

August 14, 2017January 20, 2018micahmelling@gmail.com
I’ve always found simulation modeling to be highly informative. Given certain conditions and logic, what is likely to happen given repeated trials? What [...]

Testing Hypotheses using Data Viz

July 25, 2017February 21, 2021micahmelling@gmail.com
As documented previously on this blog, I am a pretty big Royals fan. The month of July was, then, pretty exciting for me [...]

Predicting the Next Pitch: A Markov Chain Approach

July 4, 2017January 20, 2018micahmelling@gmail.com
I’ve written in the past about using machine learning to predict a pitcher’s next pitch, which is a particularly difficult problem. This blog [...]

A Text Analysis of Hall of Fame Speeches

June 26, 2017January 20, 2018micahmelling@gmail.com
Every summer, Major League Baseball inducts a small numbers of players into the Hall of Fame, with each inductee giving a speech. This [...]

Survival Analysis: How Long Do Careers Last?

June 21, 2017January 20, 2018micahmelling@gmail.com
Survival analysis inspects, well, how long an entity survives. In less morbid terms, it’s a methodology to understand time until event. This blog [...]

Factor Analysis on HoF Stats

June 18, 2017January 20, 2018micahmelling@gmail.com
Factor analysis is a methodology to reduce data complexity. Factors are latent variables that represent underlying constructs in data. An interesting baseball-related application [...]

Finding Similarities Among Pitchers

June 8, 2017January 20, 2018micahmelling@gmail.com
I’ve had several conversations recently about the nature of baseball stats compared to statistics in other sports, like football and basketball. Baseball, to [...]

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Recent Posts

  • What is the Probability the Royals’ Offense Would be this Bad?
  • Clustering Negro Leagues Baseball Players
  • Player Height and Weight Over Time
  • Visually Analyzing the Royals Turnaround
  • Predicting Winning Percentages

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